The Fed may calm down | 16 November 2023

16 November 2023, EUR/USD

The Fed may calm down

EURUSD trading plan:

U.S. retail sales fell for the first time in seven months in October as motor vehicle purchases and spending on hobbies dropped, pointing to slowing demand at the start of the fourth quarter that further strengthened expectations the Federal Reserve is done hiking interest rates. That was supported by other data showing the biggest decline in producer prices in three-and-a-half years in October on the back of cheaper gasoline. The reports followed on the heels of news on Tuesday that consumer prices were unchanged last month for the first time in more than a year. The data, combined with a cooling labor market, led economists to conclude that the U.S. central bank's current rate hiking cycle was over. Still, there is no sign that the economy is sliding into recession. The drop in sales in October was less than expected and followed three straight months of hefty gains.

Investment idea: buy 1.0820 and take profit 1.0890.

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
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